I highly recommend you read Bill Julian’s latest letter. I really liked it. Here is a snippet from the letter. He compares wildfires to today’s economic (mis)management:
The tools that Washington will use to try to control these burns really amounts to its own
balance sheet together with a policy of extending, amending and pretending. (The
FDIC’s management of failing banks is a prime example of the latter.) As long as
investors continue to believe that the Federal government’s balance sheet can withstand
the heat, it is likely that the government will succeed in moving us to a “new normal”
best described by Bill Gross– an environment of low interest rates, low growth, more
frequent recessions and low returns. However, if investors get nervous along the way,
interest rates on government debt could spike. That would incapacitate the US
government and the controlled burn would soon turn into an uncontrollable firestorm –
one that will last until it burns itself out.
Here is the link: Bill Julian Letter
More than one economist has noted that the final leg in this crisis will be a sovereign debt crisis in various countries.
What are your thoughts on DSNY’s report, and its announcement of its new client?
I continue to be very bullish on DSNY. The idea that they just put up $2.6 million in revenue for fiscal 2009 and will do at least $1 million in the first quarter alone should tell you what kind of growth trajectory they are on. And the buyback shows how this is finally turning into a cash cow.
Remember that you should make your own decisions when investing and these are only my opinions that may be very wrong. Do your own research as I know you do.
Sold out at .45 today. I still like the company, but I’m not sure if the current price is justified by its forward earnings at this point. I think the seasonally-weak Q2 will give a better idea of that. I may get back in then.
Thanks for posting this. I wasn’t familiar with Bill’s site, but I enjoyed reading his letter.